Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
BPO
3 - 1
SUN
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
6 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1932 |
BBU
3 - 3
DER
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
DER
2 - 2
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
WBA
2 - 0
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
DER
2 - 0
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
DER
2 - 1
BBU
62%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |