Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
OPA
1 - 1
SUN
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 3
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 3
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
EVE
4 - 1
SUN
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1930 |
SUN
2 - 4
SHW
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
DER
0 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
DER
4 - 1
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
BUR
6 - 2
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
DER
3 - 1
NEW
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |