Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
SUN
3 - 1
BBU
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 1
SUN
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
MID
0 - 3
SUN
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 3
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
ARS
1 - 3
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
DER
5 - 1
BBU
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
DER
2 - 1
MID
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1928 |
BBU
3 - 2
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |