Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1927 |
SUN
6 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
SHE
2 - 0
SUN
55%
21%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
LIV
1 - 2
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1927 |
DER
2 - 2
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
DER
4 - 4
HUR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
MUD
2 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 4
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
DER
0 - 0
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |