Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHL
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
SUN
2 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
SUN
0 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
DER
1 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
DER
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |