Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
SHE
1 - 0
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
SUN
4 - 2
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
ASV
5 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
SUN
1 - 2
LIV
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
SUN
3 - 1
PNE
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
DER
2 - 3
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
BRA
0 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
DER
2 - 4
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
DER
4 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
MID
3 - 2
DER
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |