Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
BBU
4 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
PNE
0 - 3
SUN
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
WBA
1 - 0
SUN
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
83%
11%
7%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
DER
1 - 1
BBU
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1912 |
BAR
0 - 2
DER
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
DER
4 - 0
GAI
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1912 |
FUL
0 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
LEI
0 - 1
DER
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |