Sunderland vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
COV
2 - 0
SUN
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 2
SUN
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 0
NOR
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
CRE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WIG
0 - 0
SUN
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CRE
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CRE
1 - 3
NOR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
CRE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CRE
2 - 3
CRY
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
REA
1 - 1
CRE
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |