Sunderland vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2009 |
OPA
3 - 1
SUN
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
SUN
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SUN
0 - 2
EVE
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WBA
3 - 0
SUN
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
HUL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 0
BBU
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 4
CHL
39%
27%
34%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 1
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CHL
3 - 1
FUL
76%
17%
8%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
0 - 0
CHL
55%
23%
22%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |