Sunderland vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1934 |
SUN
3 - 0
GRI
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
WOL
1 - 2
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1934 |
GRI
0 - 0
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1934 |
SUN
4 - 1
HUR
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1934 |
SUN
3 - 2
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1934 |
SHW
3 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
CHL
3 - 1
LEI
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1934 |
CHL
1 - 2
SHW
45%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1934 |
DER
3 - 0
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1934 |
LEE
3 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |