Sunderland vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 2
SUN
36%
24%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 1
OLD
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
SUN
4 - 1
ARS
85%
10%
6%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
0 - 2
SHW
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 2
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
SHE
3 - 3
CHL
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
4 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |