Sunderland vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
NTT
4 - 0
SUN
48%
23%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
SUN
4 - 3
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
SHE
0 - 2
SUN
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
SUN
3 - 1
BCF
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 4
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHE
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
MID
1 - 4
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAC
53%
21%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |