Sunderland vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
HUR
1 - 2
SUN
58%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 2
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 0
OPA
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
CAR
2 - 2
MUD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1929 |
LEI
2 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
BCF
4 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1929 |
CAR
0 - 0
SHE
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |