EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Sunderland vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 1
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
BRA
0 - 4
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
3 - 1
OXF
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SUN
0 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
POR
3 - 1
SUN
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 0
TRA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 2
BCF
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
WOL
4 - 2
BCF
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
BCF
3 - 3
CRE
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |