Sunderland vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
BCF
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 1
OLD
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1912 |
SHW
2 - 1
BCF
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
SHE
4 - 0
BCF
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |