Sunderland vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
SUN
43%
23%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 0
SHW
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 1
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
SUN
3 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
SUN
43%
23%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
BBU
5 - 1
BCF
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 3
BCF
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
ARS
59%
20%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |