Sunderland vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
4 - 0
SHW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PNE
2 - 0
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 2
MAR
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 4
BUR
42%
25%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAD
1 - 1
BUR
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
RYL
2 - 1
BUR
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |