Sunderland vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1964 |
COV
4 - 2
SUN
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
TOT
3 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
SUN
2 - 2
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
NTT
5 - 2
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
SUN
0 - 0
FUL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEI
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEE
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 2
BUR
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
BBU
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |