Sunderland vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1924 |
LIV
4 - 2
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
SUN
27%
28%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 0
NTT
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 0
LIV
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 1
SWI
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
SWI
1 - 1
BUR
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
BOL
0 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |