Sunderland vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
SUN
2 - 2
PNE
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BIR
2 - 3
BUR
42%
27%
30%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |