FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 2
ASV
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MID
1 - 1
SUN
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 0
BBU
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BBU
3 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2009 |
BLY
0 - 1
BBU
5%
16%
80%
|
86 | 39 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BBU
2 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 0
BBU
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BBU
3 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |