Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
STO
0 - 1
SUN
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SUN
0 - 0
SHE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 3
SUN
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
BCF
2 - 5
SUN
11%
25%
63%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 0
HUR
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 0
IPS
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
BRI
1 - 2
BIR
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 0
QPR
62%
23%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 1
BIR
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |