Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1965 |
SUN
1 - 2
WOL
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
SUN
3 - 1
SHE
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
BUR
0 - 0
SUN
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1965 |
BBU
3 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
3 - 0
BIR
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BIR
2 - 0
LEI
35%
24%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1965 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 1
BIR
71%
17%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |