Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
PNE
6 - 0
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
SUN
3 - 3
OPA
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 0
SUN
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
BIR
4 - 2
CHA
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
BIR
2 - 2
BPO
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
ASV
3 - 1
BIR
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |