Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1934 |
SUN
3 - 0
BBU
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1934 |
WBA
6 - 5
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1934 |
DER
0 - 0
SUN
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1934 |
LEE
3 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1934 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 0
LEI
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 1
OPA
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 1
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1934 |
WOL
2 - 0
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |