Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 1
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
HUR
2 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
47%
22%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
GRI
4 - 1
BIR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 2
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
WHU
1 - 2
BIR
64%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
47%
22%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |