Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 1
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
1 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUR
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 1
BIR
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 4
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |