Sunderland vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 2
WBA
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
HUR
4 - 0
BIR
56%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 0
HUR
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
2 - 1
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 1
EVE
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |