Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
EVE
7 - 1
SUN
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 3
OPA
45%
28%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
20%
27%
54%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BBU
0 - 4
ASV
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MID
0 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 2
ASV
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |