Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
SUN
1 - 0
WBA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
SUN
2 - 0
LUT
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
MID
4 - 1
SUN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
LEE
1 - 2
SUN
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
DEP
1 - 1
ASV
55%
26%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
WHU
0 - 0
ASV
40%
29%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
ASV
0 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |