Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
SUN
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
WOL
0 - 0
SUN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
SUN
1 - 0
QPR
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
SUN
2 - 2
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
ASV
1 - 0
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1984 |
COV
3 - 3
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ASV
0 - 3
MUD
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
ASV
4 - 0
WOL
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |