Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
HUR
2 - 1
SUN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
BUR
5 - 1
SUN
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
WOL
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1953 |
WOL
1 - 2
ASV
74%
14%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
PNE
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |