Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 1
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
SUN
1 - 0
DER
54%
21%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
SUN
4 - 1
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
4 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
DER
4 - 2
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 1
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 0
WBA
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
OPA
5 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 2
ASV
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |