Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
1 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
MAC
2 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 3
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
BBU
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
ASV
3 - 4
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |