Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1924 |
PNE
1 - 2
SUN
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 2
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
BCF
3 - 0
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 1
NTT
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
ASV
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |