Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
MID
2 - 3
SUN
42%
23%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 4
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
2 - 5
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 6
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
BOL
2 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 7
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
BBU
1 - 2
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 3
MUD
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
OLD
3 - 3
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |