Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 3
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
PNE
2 - 2
SUN
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 0
BRA
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 3
BBU
68%
17%
14%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
BRA
0 - 0
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1913 |
ASV
4 - 2
SHE
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |