Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
3 - 2
SUN
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 3
MUD
14%
24%
63%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 1
WHU
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHE
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 2
ARS
17%
25%
58%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
WBA
2 - 1
ARS
12%
22%
66%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
82%
12%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 2
ARS
28%
26%
46%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |