Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
49.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
ARS
1 - 1
SUN
80%
13%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
COV
2 - 2
SUN
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
WHU
2 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
SUN
2 - 0
DER
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
MUD
5 - 0
SUN
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
ARS
1 - 1
SUN
80%
13%
6%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
ARS
2 - 0
MID
71%
18%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 2
ASV
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
SHW
0 - 0
ARS
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |