Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
HUR
0 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 1
WOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 1
PNE
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 0
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
WOL
0 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
61%
19%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |