Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
SUN
1 - 0
WBA
70%
15%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
MID
5 - 5
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
HUR
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
69%
16%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 1
SUN
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
ARS
0 - 0
GRI
66%
18%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
CHA
0 - 2
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHW
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
ARS
2 - 2
DER
67%
18%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |