Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
LIV
1 - 2
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
SUN
6 - 2
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
SUN
2 - 2
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1927 |
NEW
6 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
0 - 2
HUR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
ARS
2 - 1
SOU
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
SHW
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |