Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
LIV
0 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
3 - 2
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |