Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
0 - 2
SHW
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
SHW
1 - 2
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
EVE
0 - 4
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |