Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
SUN
0 - 1
BOL
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 0
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1912 |
SUN
0 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 2
WBA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
62%
20%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |