Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 1
SUN
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 0
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
SUN
0 - 2
SHE
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
LIV
1 - 2
SUN
56%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
SHE
3 - 2
ARS
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
ARS
3 - 2
BCF
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
5 - 0
ARS
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
ARS
2 - 1
NOT
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
PNE
4 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |