Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
11%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
SHE
3 - 0
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 4
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
SUN
0 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 1
SUN
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 1
NTT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
5 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
BBU
7 - 0
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
ARS
3 - 2
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
3 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |