Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1909 |
BBU
8 - 1
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 3
SUN
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 2
SUN
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 0
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1909 |
SUN
0 - 3
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 2
NTT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
ARS
5 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |