Pegasus vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 3
SCA
27%
24%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 2
YOK
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
SHS
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KFC
4 - 2
SUN
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SDI
3 - 3
SUN
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SDI
2 - 1
WTP
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
WTP
3 - 1
SDI
51%
22%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
WTP
3 - 0
SDI
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 0
SDI
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SDI
1 - 0
WTP
47%
22%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |