Pegasus vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
WTP
2 - 2
SUN
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
SHS
0 - 0
SUN
34%
25%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SUN
4 - 0
TMS
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
YOK
1 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 1
SUN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TMS
0 - 5
CAA
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 1
SDI
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 1
SCA
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
WTP
3 - 1
CAA
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
1 - 2
SHS
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |